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Evaluating Our 2025 Forecasts: Equity, Fixed Income, and the U.S. Economy | Weekly Market Commentary | January 5, 2026
With 2025 behind us, it’s a good time to celebrate some of our better forecasts from last year while also reviewing some misses we can learn from. In our view, we got more right than wrong last year, but there were some misses among our tactical asset allocation recommendations. For the second straight year, as the bull market marched on, the most impactful decision we made was probably to recommend investors stay fully invested in equities at benchmark levels throughout the entire year despite elevated valuations.
Navigating Neutral: Fed Policy Key for Fixed Income Markets in 2026 | Weekly Market Commentary | December 22, 2025
Our 2026 fixed income outlook calls for a rangebound rate environment, cautious Fed policy, and a modest increase in spreads within corporate credit markets.
Policy Tailwinds and Artificial Intelligence to Power Stocks in 2026 | Weekly Market Commentary | December 15, 2025
The bull market appears poised to extend its run in 2026, fueled by ongoing enthusiasm around AI and further easing of monetary policy from the Federal Reserve (Fed).
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Outlook 2024: A Turning Point
In 2024, we believe markets will make a definitive turn to a more recognizable place. En route, the transition will be marked by meaningful shifts in a few key areas. Inflation is going down. The risk of a recession is bubbling up again as the effect of post-pandemic...
401k Plan Sponsors White Paper
In 1974, Congress passed the Employee Retirement Income Security Act or ERISA…
Recent Changes to Your Social Security
Congress recently broke a long standing promise to seniors by changing…
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